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P1

Record, describe and analyse the frequency of outcomes of probability experiments using tables and frequency trees

Frequency trees

Worked answers, methods and verified real exam appearances for P1 on Edexcel GCSE Maths 1MA1.

Explanation

  • A frequency is a count of how many times an outcome occurs.
  • In a frequency table, all the frequencies should add to the total number of trials.
  • A frequency tree splits a total into groups: the child branches at every split must add back to their parent.
  • Complete a missing branch by subtraction, then use the finished tree to compare counts or calculate relative frequencies.
  • When groups have different totals, compare proportions rather than raw frequencies.

Worked example

A frequency tree starts with 7070 people. 4343 choose tea and the rest choose coffee. Of the tea drinkers, 1818 add sugar. Complete the missing frequencies.

  1. 1.Coffee drinkers: 7043=2770-43=27.
  2. 2.Tea drinkers without sugar: 4318=2543-18=25.
  3. 3.Check the first split: 43+27=7043+27=70.

Answer: 2727 choose coffee and 2525 choose tea without sugar.

Common mistakes

  • Don't fall into the trap of writing probabilities on a tree that asks for frequencies.
  • Don't fall into the trap of subtracting a branch from the overall total instead of its parent.

Exam tip

Check every split by adding its two branches back to the parent frequency.

Worked practice

Q1
Tier 1 · Easy

1

A spinner is used 3030 times. It lands on red 1818 times and on blue 1212 times. Complete a frequency table for the two outcomes and work out the relative frequency of red.

(2)

(Total for Question 1 is 2 marks)

Mark scheme

Mark scheme for question 1
QuestionAnswerMarkMark scheme
1
  • Red: 1818; blue: 1212.
  • Relative frequency of red =1830=0.6=\dfrac{18}{30}=0.6.
2Record the observed counts in the table and check that 18+12=3018+12=30. Divide the red frequency by the total number of spins: 18÷30=0.618\div30=0.6.
Q2
Tier 2 · Standard

2

A frequency tree describes 8080 visits to a kiosk. On 5252 visits a hot drink is chosen and on the remaining visits a cold drink is chosen. A snack is also bought on 3131 hot-drink visits and on 77 cold-drink visits. Complete all terminal frequencies and work out the percentage of visits on which a snack is bought.

(3)

(Total for Question 2 is 3 marks)

Mark scheme

Mark scheme for question 2
QuestionAnswerMarkMark scheme
2
  • Cold drink: 2828; hot drink and no snack: 2121; cold drink and no snack: 2121.
  • Snack percentage =47.5%=47.5\%.
3The cold-drink branch has frequency 8052=2880-52=28. The no-snack frequencies are 5231=2152-31=21 and 287=2128-7=21. Snacks are bought on 31+7=3831+7=38 visits, so the percentage is 3880×100=47.5%\dfrac{38}{80}\times100=47.5\%.
Q3
Tier 3 · Hard

3

Two weeks of trials are combined. In week 1, 7272 of 120120 trials succeed; 4545 successful trials and 1818 unsuccessful trials are fast. In week 2, 9999 of 180180 trials succeed; 6666 successful trials and 2727 unsuccessful trials are fast. Construct a combined frequency table for success or failure against fast or not fast. Compare the proportions that are fast in the two outcome groups.

(5)

(Total for Question 3 is 5 marks)

Mark scheme

Mark scheme for question 3
QuestionAnswerMarkMark scheme
3
  • Success: 111111 fast and 6060 not fast; failure: 4545 fast and 8484 not fast.
  • Proportion of successful trials that are fast =11117164.9%=\dfrac{111}{171}\approx64.9\%; proportion of failed trials that are fast =4512934.9%=\dfrac{45}{129}\approx34.9\%.
  • A successful trial is more likely to be fast.
5Combine like branches: successful trials total 72+99=17172+99=171, of which 45+66=11145+66=111 are fast, so 6060 are not fast. Failures total (12072)+(18099)=129(120-72)+(180-99)=129, of which 18+27=4518+27=45 are fast, so 8484 are not fast. Compare within each outcome group: 111/1710.649111/171\approx0.649 and 45/1290.34945/129\approx0.349.
Q4
Tier 1 · Easy

4

A weather station records one result on each of 2828 days. There are 1111 dry days and 99 wet days. All the other days are windy. Work out the number of windy days.

(1)

(Total for Question 4 is 1 mark)

Mark scheme

Mark scheme for question 4
QuestionAnswerMarkMark scheme
4
  • 88 windy days.
1The three frequencies must total 2828. The windy frequency is 28119=828-11-9=8. Check that 11+9+8=2811+9+8=28.
Q5
Tier 2 · Standard

5

A frequency tree represents 9696 sports-club members. Of the junior members, 2828 train on weekdays and 1717 train at weekends. Of the adult members, 3333 train on weekdays. Work out the three missing frequencies.

(3)

(Total for Question 5 is 3 marks)

Mark scheme

Mark scheme for question 5
QuestionAnswerMarkMark scheme
5
  • Junior: 4545; adult: 5151; adult and weekend: 1818.
3The junior frequency is 28+17=4528+17=45. The adult frequency is 9645=5196-45=51. The adult weekend branch is 5133=1851-33=18.
Q6
Tier 3 · Hard

6

A factory checks containers made by two machines. For Machine A, 2121 containers are faulty and 259259 are not faulty. For Machine B, 3030 containers are faulty and 470470 are not faulty. Work out the relative frequency of faulty containers for each machine and compare the results.

(3)

(Total for Question 6 is 3 marks)

Mark scheme

Mark scheme for question 6
QuestionAnswerMarkMark scheme
6
  • Machine A: 0.0750.075; Machine B: 0.060.06.
  • Machine A has the greater relative frequency of faulty containers, by 0.0150.015 (or 1.51.5 percentage points).
3For Machine A, 21÷280=0.07521\div280=0.075. For Machine B, 30÷500=0.0630\div500=0.06. Since 0.075>0.060.075>0.06, Machine A has the greater relative frequency; the difference is 0.0750.06=0.0150.075-0.06=0.015.
Q7
Tier 2 · Standard

7

A wildlife centre records 180180 animal sightings. There are 4848 morning sightings. The afternoon frequency is 2424 more than the morning frequency. All the other sightings are in the evening. Two thirds of the evening sightings are birds and the rest are mammals. Work out the missing frequencies and the relative frequency of an evening mammal sighting among all 180180 sightings.

(4)

(Total for Question 7 is 4 marks)

Mark scheme

Mark scheme for question 7
QuestionAnswerMarkMark scheme
7
  • Afternoon: 7272; evening: 6060; evening birds: 4040; evening mammals: 2020.
  • Relative frequency of an evening mammal sighting =20180=19=\dfrac{20}{180}=\dfrac{1}{9}.
4The afternoon frequency is 48+24=7248+24=72, so the evening frequency is 1804872=60180-48-72=60. Two thirds of 6060 is 4040, leaving 2020 evening mammal sightings. Divide this frequency by all 180180 sightings to get 20/180=1/920/180=1/9.
Q8
Tier 3 · Hard

8

A travel survey records 250250 journeys by car, bus or walking. There are 140140 morning journeys and the rest are evening journeys. In total, 9292 journeys are by car and 101101 are by bus. In the morning, 5656 journeys are by car and the bus frequency is twice the walking frequency. Complete a two-way frequency table for time of day against method of travel.

(5)

(Total for Question 8 is 5 marks)

Mark scheme

Mark scheme for question 8
QuestionAnswerMarkMark scheme
8
  • Morning: car 5656, bus 5656, walking 2828, total 140140.
  • Evening: car 3636, bus 4545, walking 2929, total 110110.
  • Totals: car 9292, bus 101101, walking 5757, all journeys 250250.
5Let the morning walking frequency be xx, so the morning bus frequency is 2x2x. Then 56+2x+x=14056+2x+x=140, giving x=28x=28 and a morning bus frequency of 5656. Subtract the morning entries from the column totals: evening car is 9256=3692-56=36 and evening bus is 10156=45101-56=45. The evening total is 250140=110250-140=110, so evening walking is 1103645=29110-36-45=29.
Q9
Tier 3 · Hard

9

A frequency tree records whether parcels are domestic or international and whether they are delayed. There are 4242 international parcels. Of the domestic parcels, 1818 are delayed. Of the international parcels, 99 are delayed. The relative frequency of a delayed parcel among all the parcels is 0.150.15. Work out the total number of parcels and all the missing frequencies in the tree.

(4)

(Total for Question 9 is 4 marks)

Mark scheme

Mark scheme for question 9
QuestionAnswerMarkMark scheme
9
  • Total parcels: 180180; domestic parcels: 138138.
  • Domestic and not delayed: 120120; international and not delayed: 3333.
4There are 18+9=2718+9=27 delayed parcels. If NN is the total number, then 27/N=0.1527/N=0.15, so N=180N=180. There are 18042=138180-42=138 domestic parcels. The remaining terminal frequencies are 13818=120138-18=120 and 429=3342-9=33.
Q10
Tier 3 · Hard

10

A workshop tests 120120 components and 7878 pass. Components for a new order will be made in full trays of 8080. The workshop wants the expected number that pass to be at least 500500. Using the test result, decide the minimum number of full trays the workshop should make. Show that one fewer tray is not enough.

(4)

(Total for Question 10 is 4 marks)

Mark scheme

Mark scheme for question 10
QuestionAnswerMarkMark scheme
10
  • 1010 full trays (or 800800 components).
  • 99 trays give an expected 468468 passes, whereas 1010 trays give an expected 520520 passes.
4The test gives a pass relative frequency of 78/120=13/2078/120=13/20. One tray therefore gives an expected 80×13/20=5280\times13/20=52 passes. Nine trays give 9×52=4689\times52=468, which is below 500500, while ten trays give 10×52=52010\times52=520. Therefore the minimum is 1010 full trays.

Verified exam appearances

SeriesPaperQuestionMarksCalculatorTierLinks
2022-111HQ104Non-calculatorHigherQPMS
2019-061FQ172Non-calculatorFoundationQPMS
2019-111FQ154Non-calculatorFoundationQPMS
2023-062FQ195AllowedFoundationQPMS
2023-113FQ155AllowedFoundationQPMS
2021-112FQ175AllowedFoundationQPMS
2022-061FQ175Non-calculatorFoundationQPMS

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