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Edexcel A-level Further Maths revision notes

Chi squared tests

Section FS1-6
Year 1
Year 1: this is the AS subject content the exam board publishes, which is what most schools teach in Year 12.
1 specification point

Notes and three levels of exam-style practice for each registered specification point in this section.

Checked against Edexcel 9FM0 section FS1-6

Checked against Edexcel 9FM0 section FS1-6. Review basis: the qualification registry sourced from the Pearson Edexcel Level 3 Advanced GCE in Further Mathematics (9FM0) specification; registry verification recorded 17 July 2026.

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In the exam: Formulae booklet provided · calculator allowed in every paper

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FS1-6.1

Goodness of fit tests and contingency tables. The null and alternative hypotheses. Degrees of freedom.

Notes
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Explanation

  • For goodness of fit, H0H_0 states in context that the proposed distribution fits; for a contingency table, both hypotheses must name the two classifications, for example H0H_0: travel method is independent of year group and H1H_1: travel method is associated with year group. Use χ2=(OE)2E\chi^2=\sum\dfrac{(O-E)^2}{E}.
  • Goodness-of-fit degrees of freedom are k1mk-1-m after combining, where mm parameters were estimated from the data. For an r×cr\times c contingency table, df=(r1)(c1)df=(r-1)(c-1) and each expected frequency is row total times column total divided by grand total.
  • Cells should be combined sensibly when E<5E<5.
  • In a critical-value test, state the degrees of freedom and the critical value explicitly before comparing it with χ2\chi^2; the critical value can carry its own mark.
  • Finish with a contextual conclusion.
Worked example

A 2×32\times3 contingency table has row totals 60,4060,40, column totals 20,30,5020,30,50 and grand total 100100. Find the expected frequencies and degrees of freedom for a test of independence.

  1. 1.First row expectations: 60(20,30,50)/100=(12,18,30)60(20,30,50)/100=(12,18,30).
  2. 2.Second row expectations: 40(20,30,50)/100=(8,12,20)40(20,30,50)/100=(8,12,20).
  3. 3.df=(21)(31)=2df=(2-1)(3-1)=2.

Answer: Expected table (12183081220)\begin{pmatrix}12&18&30\\8&12&20\end{pmatrix}; 22 degrees of freedom.

Common mistakes

  • Don't use observed rather than expected frequency in the denominator of each contribution.
  • Don't calculate contingency-table degrees of freedom as rc1rc-1.
  • Don't combine a cell with E<5E<5 but forget to recalculate the number of groups and degrees of freedom.

Exam tip

Show one expected-frequency calculation and state the degrees-of-freedom formula before using the calculator.

Tier 1 · Easy

ORIGINAL

1.

A goodness-of-fit test has four categories with model probabilities 0.1,0.2,0.3,0.40.1,0.2,0.3,0.4 and a sample size of 120120. No parameter is estimated. Find the expected frequencies and the degrees of freedom.

(3)

(Total for Question 1 is 3 marks)

Tier 2 · Standard

ORIGINAL

1.

After fitting a one-parameter model from the same data, five ordered categories have observed frequencies 41,33,17,7,241,33,17,7,2 and expected frequencies 40,32,18,7,340,32,18,7,3. Carry out a goodness-of-fit test at the 5%5\% level of significance. The critical value for 22 degrees of freedom is 5.9915.991.

(8)

(Total for Question 1 is 8 marks)

Tier 3 · Hard

ORIGINAL

1.

The observed counts for travel method by year group are walkcyclebuscarYear 1024182018Year 1116222022Year 1210203020\begin{array}{c|rrrr}&\text{walk}&\text{cycle}&\text{bus}&\text{car}\\ \hline \text{Year 10}&24&18&20&18\\ \text{Year 11}&16&22&20&22\\ \text{Year 12}&10&20&30&20\end{array}. Test independence at the 5%5\% level of significance. The critical value for 66 degrees of freedom is 12.59212.592.

(10)

(Total for Question 1 is 10 marks)

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